Conf = NESCAC State = NY
Nickname = Continentals Coach = Patty KloidtGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.8341217 home-field advantage = -0.60 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Bates NESCAC ( 6- 9, 88.5) 14-10 309 H Amherst NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.7) 9- 4 313 H St John Fisher Empire Eight (12- 8, 90.4) 11- 5 316 H Tufts NESCAC (16- 4, 97.2) 9-21 320 A Colorado College WIAC (16- 6, 91.0) 11-16 323 H Colby NESCAC (13- 7, 93.3) 2-12 330 A Bowdoin NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.1) 9-15 406 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 9, 92.2) 9- 8 410 H Williams NESCAC ( 7- 7, 91.7) 12- 7 413 A Wesleyan NESCAC (16- 4, 97.0) 7-14 414 A Middlebury NESCAC (23- 0, 99.9) 10-18 417 A Rochester Liberty Leagu ( 9- 9, 85.6) 16- 6 420 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 89.6) 10- 9 424 H Ithaca Liberty Leagu (18- 2, 92.5) 8-17 427 A Colby NESCAC (13- 7, 93.3) 11-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Bates 14-10 4 1 + 2.30 309 H Amherst 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.29 313 H St John Fisher 11- 5 6 0 ++ 5.01 316 H Tufts 9-21 -12 -5 -1.19 320 A Colorado College 11-16 -5 0 -- -4.27 323 H Colby 2-12 -10 -1 -- -5.16 330 A Bowdoin 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.15 406 H Trinity 9- 8 1 0 1.73 410 H Williams 12- 7 5 0 ++ 5.29 413 A Wesleyan 7-14 -7 -6 -0.29 414 A Middlebury 10-18 -8 -9 0.00 417 A Rochester 16- 6 10 4 + 2.37 420 H Connecticut College 10- 9 1 1 -0.85 424 H Ithaca 8-17 -9 -1 -- -5.96 427 A Colby 11-13 -2 -3 1.03UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Colorado College 11-16 -5 0 -- -4.27 323 H Colby 2-12 -10 -1 -- -5.16 330 A Bowdoin 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.15 424 H Ithaca 8-17 -9 -1 -- -5.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 H Amherst 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.29 313 H St John Fisher 11- 5 6 0 ++ 5.01 410 H Williams 12- 7 5 0 ++ 5.29 302 A Bates 14-10 4 1 + 2.30 417 A Rochester 16- 6 10 4 + 2.37
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 90.84 Power Rank................. 25 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 82.13 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 3 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6924 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 32 RPI Rating............... .5951 RPI Rank................... 44 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 21 Selection sum ........... 172 Selection Rank ............ 47 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -45. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 69 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -85. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 96 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3